• Max Carlson

Max Against the Spread | Week 8: Faulk Off

Image Credit: Andrew Giesemann


Down in a hole, feelin' so small

Down in a hole, losin' my soul

I'd like to fly, but my weekly locks have been so denied

Another losing week on the locks puts me back below .500 on the year, and as we approach the halfway point, it’s time to start cashing in on some sweeps to try get back (and stay) in the black. Not a fan of the board this week, but that’s the way it goes. Let’s dive in.

Game 1:

Cardinals @ Saints (-10)

The Cardinals have won three straight, but now they have to face the red-hot Saints in the Superdome, and there’s a possibility that Drew Brees will return for this one. Both teams are at the top of the league with a 5-2 record ATS, but the New Orleans offense is going to be too much for Arizona in this one, especially at home.

I’m completely sold on Kyler Murray, but I don’t think this team is ready to keep this one close.

The pick: Saints (-10) [-110]

Game 2:

Broncos @ Colts (-5.5)

The Broncos just traded away Emmanuel Sanders after an embarrassing crushing at the hands of Patrick Mahomes/Matt Moore and the Chiefs, and the Colts are coming off a nice home win over the Texans that gave them sole possession of first place in the AFC North.

Less than a TD spread for two teams going in completely different directions?

(*hits easy button*)

The pick: Colts (-5.5) [-110]

Game 3:

Packers (-3.5) @ Chiefs

Apparently Patrick Mahomes is Wolverine, because he’s already practicing less than a week after dislocating his knee in Denver. Does Colorado cannabis have restorative powers we don’t know about? Did he visit a witch doctor in the Crystal Caves at South Park’s Casa Bonita? No one knows, but there is apparently a chance he plays against Green Bay on Sunday Night Football.

Either way, I like the Packers to win this game outright. The Chiefs’ defense is a mess, and Aaron Rodgers is playing at an MVP level right now.

I’m taking Green Bay by 10 points in this one as they look to keep race in the NFC seeding race that’s looking to be an exciting one.

The pick: Packers (-3.5) [-110]

Niner Game:

Panthers @ 49ers (-5.5)

Well, last week I laid out all sorts of data that pointed to the 49ers covering the 10 points in Washington, and naturally, they won by 9 points in a rain-soaked mudfest.

Gambling is dumb.

This week, they return home and face the surprisingly good Carolina Panthers. Both teams boast strong overall defenses, but I’m expecting the 49ers to do what they do best and run the ball as often as possible against Carolina’s suspect run defense.

Of course, Carolina will try to do the same with their superstar running back Christian McCaffrey, whom Kyle Shanahan recently compared to the great Marshall Faulk. The 49ers are likely to debut their new WR Emmanuel Sanders, but I’m not expecting a huge impact from him right away on the stat sheet. With the 49ers pass rush looking to neutralize Kyle Allen, and the turnover-creating secondary in Carolina, I’m expecting a low-scoring game that comes down to the wire. I like the 49ers to win outright, but not to cover. Faulk junior will get his fair share, regardless of how many resources the 49ers commit to stopping him.

The pick: Panthers (+5.5) [-110]

Remaining Games (picks in bold)

WSH +16.5 @ MIN

CIN @ LAR -13

SEA @ ATL (No line yet. Will tweet prediction when line is available.)

PHI @ BUF -1.5

LAC @ CHI -3.5

NYG @ DET -6.5

NYJ +6.5 @ JAX

TB +2.5 @ TEN

CLE +13 @ NE

OAK @ HOU -7

MIA @ PIT -14

Stay tuned next week for a recap of this week’s picks as well as picks for the Week 8 games!

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