• Max Carlson

Max against the Spread | Week 2: No Whammy


Well, I sure hope you didn’t take my advice last week. I went 7-9 overall, but a disastrous 0-3 on my locks. Cleveland’s awful performance, Derek Carr’s rise from the dead, and Ryan Fitzpatrick’s return to the dead all led to my nothing burger to start the year.

Thankfully, I got the only pick right that truly matters; My beloved San Francisco 49ers.

So without further ado, here are my locks for Week 2. Be advised, that it may be wise to place your hard-earned money on the teams I don’t tell you to pick.

Game 1:

Vikings @ Packers (-2.5)

Despite their convincing win last week over the Falcons, I’m not yet sold on the Vikings being a top tier team. The Packers won a close, sloppy game in Chicago to open the season, and come home for their second straight divisional matchup.

I’m loving what Green Bay has been doing with their defense, and all of the draft capital they’ve invested is starting to pay dividends. I just don’t see Kirk Cousins going into Lambeau Field and covering this small spread.

The pick: Packers (-2.5) [-120]

Game 2:

Colts @ Titans (-3.5)

My biggest whiff last week was the Cleveland/Tennessee game, and now I’m picking against the Titans again. They’re coming home after a HUGE road win, but much like the Vikings, I’m just not sold. The Titans seem to play really well when they’re big underdogs, and I expect them to come back down to earth in this one.

If the Colts don’t miss three field goals last week, they steal a win against the Chargers. While Andrew Luck is gone, the team is still loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. I’m taking Indy to win this one outright, so taking the 3.5 points here is a no-brainer for me.

The pick: Colts (+3.5) [-120]

Game 3:

Cowboys (-6) @ Redskins

I’m a bit surprised this line hasn’t moved more than it did. It opened up, I believe, at -5.5, and apparently not enough people jumped on it, as it’s only moved a half point at the time of writing. As long as the Redskins are trotting out Colt McCoy, it’s going to be very difficult for me to pick them in one score spreads.

Dallas is coming off a dominating win over the Giants and Dak Prescott looked very good. Even if Dak happens to struggle in this one, that Dallas defense shouldn’t have a problem controlling the game. I’m hammering the Cowboys here, and you should too.

The pick: Cowboys (-6) [-110]

Niner Game:

49ers @ Bengals (-1)

Back to back weeks the 49ers are road dogs, and back to back weeks we will be taking advantage of that. The Bengals’ offensive line will be missing their starting left tackle, and the 49ers’ shiny new defensive line will look to feast on that unit.

Even with A.J. Green ruled out for the game, the Bengals do boast an impressive air attack under new head coach Zac Taylor.

As long as the 49ers can get to Andy Dalton, I don’t see that being an issue. The secondary - which was a big concern for many 49ers fans this offseason - played remarkably well against Tampa Bay last week. The game gave me 2011 flashbacks, and if this defense is actually as good as they looked, the team could be in for a special year similar to that magical season.

Look for Jimmy Garoppolo to exploit Cincinnati's suspect secondary and for the 49ers to win this game comfortably.

The pick: 49ers (+1) [-110]

Remaining Games (picks in bold)

TB @ CAR -6.5

NE @ MIA +18.5

ARI @ BAL -13

LAC -2 @ DET

JAX @ HOU -8.5

BUF @ NYG +2.5

SEA @ PIT -3.5

KC -7 @ OAK

CHI -2 @ DEN +2

NO +1.5 @ LAR

PHI @ ATL +1.5

CLE -6.5 @ NYJ

Stay tuned next week for a recap of this week’s picks as well as picks for the week 3 games!

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