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As you’ve heard me say if you’ve read my previous two mock drafts, they are fun, but not really very accurate. The closer to the draft you get, the more accurate it is possible to be, with the beginning flurry of free agency over and all of the prospects have been poked, prodded and pictured appropriately, leaving scouts confident in their assessments. Of course a lot of their assessments will be wrong, just like a lot of the picks in people’s mock drafts.
Smokescreens and unknown interest from teams change the actual draft quite a bit. So unless you are totally locked into the league with inside information being fed to you like Ben Allbright, all a person can do is look at need and perceived value.
A lot of writers will tell you their last mock is going to be their most accurate. Mine probably isn’t. I decided to give people something else to read. What if the draft starts out different than everyone expects? Before you scroll down and see all the goodies the 49ers collect in their full seven-round mock, take a look at the full first two rounds.
FIRST ROUND MOCK
1. ARI: Nick Bosa, DE – Ohio St.
It was all a smokescreen. Arizona keeps Josh Rosen at quarterback and picks up the most complete pass rusher to come out of college since Bosa’s older brother Joey. 49ers fans are immediately upset they will have to watch their prized offseason pickup terrorize Jimmy Garoppolo. The Cardinals’ front office pats themselves on the back for how sneaky they were.
2. OAK: (Trade SF): Kyler Murray, QB – Oklahoma
John Lynch is able to convince Jon Gruden into giving up the 4, 24, and 35 draft picks for the second overall selection. He tells him, “Gettleman has offered the 6, 17 and next year’s first, and Grier just offered their first, second, third, and next year’s first, so really I’m giving you a discount.” Gruden pays the price for his chosen quarterback, and then ships Derek Carr off to New England for a fourth rounder after drafting Murray.
3.MIA (Trade NYJ): Drew Lock, QB – Missouri
Lynch was only kind of bluffing, as Miami trades up with the Jets for the next pick to take Drew Lock, their new quarterback of the future. They hope their luck on first round quarterback busts has changed, and that Lock will combine with the tiny bit of offensive talent they have left on the roster.
4. SF (Trade OAK): Quinnen Williams, DT – Alabama
With Bosa off the board and then the subsequent trade down, most 49er fans are expecting to hear Josh Allen’s or Brian Burns’ names come out of the commissioner’s mouth. San Francisco just about riots when Roger Goodell says instead: Quinnen Williams, defensive tackle, Alabama. Williams is possibly the best defensive player in the draft, and he will be absolutely unstoppable next to DeForest Buckner. For the forward thinkers, he is also a safety plan incase Buckner’s price tag pushes him out of the 49er’s plans in a couple of years.
5. TB: Andre Dillard, OT – Washington St.
Tampa Bay is in a position where they must protect Jameis Winston if they expect him our any other quarterback they employ to stay safe. Dillard does exactly that. He is a natural pass protection left tackle. He will have to build more strength to be a dominate run blocker, but he will step in and keep Winston’s backside clean on passing downs right away.
6. NYG: Dwayne Haskins, QB – Ohio St.
The Giants are patient and get their chosen quarterback at pick number six. The Giants’ coaching staff immediately tells everyone that the plan is for Haskins to sit behind Eli Manning for the first season to learn and then take over. Media writers scribble in the edges of their minds, sure…
7. JAX: Josh Allen, OLB/DE – Kentucky
A player who was discussed as the possible pick at number two if Bosa wasn’t available falls to a pretty fantastic place for him. A team with a defense loaded with talent should be a perfect place for him to showcase his ability to rush the QB and cover TEs.
8. DET: D.K. Metcalf, WR – Ole Miss
Lion’s fans have been missing that big play number one receiver since Calvin Johnson retired (no disrespect to Golden Tate). Enter Metcalf. Although the team had other needs that made this pick a little of a reach, the Lions front office can’t help themselves from partnering Metcalf with Matthew Stafford for Stafford’s twilight years on the team.
9. SF (Trade BUF): Brian Burns, DE/OLB – Florida St.
With the ninth pick of the 2019 NFL draft the Buffalo Bills pick…wait a minute, there’s been a trade. The 49ers give up the newly acquired pick #24, their pick #64, their 2020 third round draft pick, K’Waun Williams and Arik Armstead for the ninth draft pick. Buffalo gets two defensive starters, and three draft picks for their side of the deal. Lynch quickly turns in his card and the team has taken Brian Burns, a DE out of Florida St. Burns is thought by many to be the second best pure pass rusher in the draft. His speed is outrageous off the edge, and with the Williams pick, it’s possible they kick Solomon Thomas to the edge on run downs and use Burns on passing downs.
10. KC (Trade DEN): Montez Sweat, OLB/DE – Mississippi St.
After Denver strikes out on trading up for one of the top quarterbacks in the draft, Kansas City follows suite and trades with the Broncos to grab Sweat before all the top pass rushers are off the board. Sweat steps in to the starting role left by the departures of Justin Houston and Dee Ford.
11. CIN: Ed Oliver, DT/DE – Houston
Oliver is an interior defensive lineman playing in a defensive end’s body. With the run on quarterbacks and edge rushers, the Bengals get a top ten talent at pick 11. He should be a disruptive pass rusher for them and if he can add a little bit more bulk, his run stuffing game should improve as well.
12. GB: TJ Hockenson, TE - Iowa
It’s Aaron Rodger’s show now, and his offense hasn’t been as dominant without top level tight ends. Hockenson gives the Packers that day one. He could end up being the number one target in the Packers’ offense, and that would not be a bad thing.
13. NYJ (Trade MIA): Greedy Williams, CB – LSU
The Jets envision Williams taking up location on an island that has been vacant for a few years now. The debated top CB in the draft, the truth will weigh out when he lines up against Tom Brady twice this coming season.
14. ATL: Devin White, ILB – LSU
Another top ten talent pushed into the teens, White is the best LB coming out of college since Patrick Willis. His speed and tackling ability are incredible and he immediately upgrades the Falcons run defense.
15. WAS: Daniel Jones, QB – Duke
The Redskins are collecting QBs waiting to find out the seemingly inevitable news the Alex Smith’s career is over. Jones will enter the QB room expecting to sit and learn, but he will also be given every opportunity to beat out Case Keenum and Colt McCoy for the top position.
16. CAR: Clelin Ferrell, DE - Clemson
Ferrell was once thought to be a possible top ten draft pick, but with his lesser athletic ability when compared to some of the players drafted ahead of him, this seems like the right spot. The Panthers could use this equally quality run and pass defender on their line. Ferrell gives them just that.
17. NYG: Kelvin Harmon, WR – NC State
The Giants get their future QB, plus their current WR1 in the same round. A terrific route-runner, Harmon’s ability to make the contested catch will be important if the Giants do decide to keep Manning under center for another season.
18. MIN: Jawaan Taylor, OT – Florida
The Vikings get a ready-to-start left tackle in Taylor. The run of defensive players and the four quarterbacks taken in the top 15 pushed him this far down the draft. Maybe keeping Kirk Cousins clean on game day will help the Vikings get some more wins in 2019.
19. TEN: Rashan Gary, DT/DE – Michigan
Teams have been unsure on Gary’s ceiling and floor. Tennessee needs a WR, but Gary’s possible upside convinces them to draft him here. Their defense could use the disruptive player his supporters claim he will be. He just might be a steal at nineteen.
20. PIT: Devin Bush Jr., LB – Michigan
Bush is a great fit for the typical Steeler LB. At the combine and during his pro day he showed he has the athletic ability to play sideline to sideline, and the NFC North ball carriers are about to learn how hard of a tackler he is.
21. NE (Trade SEA): Noah Fant, TE - Iowa
By combining picks #32 and #74, the Patriots are able to jump up 11 spots and draft their heir apparent to Rob Gronkowski. Fant can split wide like an oversized slot WR or he can line up inline with the tackle. The Patriots offense shouldn’t change much from Gronkowski to Fant.
22. BAL: Jonah Williams, OT – Alabama
With all of the running it appears John Harbaugh plans on doing with his offense, investing in the offensive line seems like a good idea. Williams is a higher talent than this pick. Baltimore needs a WR1 too, but decides that the offensive line is more valuable.
23. HOU: N’Keal Harry, WR – Arizona St.
The Texans invest in a top WR talent to put alongside DeAndre Hopkins. Will Fuller filled that role before a knee injury took him out last season. Harry is insurance on Fuller’s knee, and an assurance that they won’t have to go trade a draft pick for an aging WR again. Best case scenario is Harry and Fuller will share the slot and outside this year, and Harry gives them insurance should Hopkins leave the team in free agency.
24. BUF (Trade SF through OAK): Garrett Bradbury, G/C – NC State
The Bills drafted their QB last year, and this year they find his center after the trade down with San Francisco. Bradbury is the best interior lineman and can easily play guard next to Mitch Morse if they decide to go with him at center instead of shipping him off for a mid-round pick later in the weekend.
25. PHI: Cody Ford, G/T – Oklahoma
Philly fortifies its offensive front with the versatile Ford who can play guard or tackle for them. Ford’s tape shows that he excels against power rushers, and could be a better fit at guard for the Eagles. Either way, Philadelphia finds a starter for the foreseeable future.
26. IND: Christian Wilkins, DL – Clemson
The Colts land a dominant defensive lineman in Wilkins who can play several techniques along the interior line. The Colts, surprising have quite a few holes along their defense and choose BPA.
27. OAK: Josh Jacobs, RB – Alabama
The only RB with a first-round grade, and the Raiders are lacking a clear first string RB. The offseason makeover of the Raiders offensive skill positions is complete with Jacobs being added to Murray, Antonio Brown, and Tyrell Williams. In Jacobs, Gruden gets the tough, physical three-down back that he loves.
28. LAC: Deandre Baker, CB – Georgia
Although his size (5’11”) is seen as an issue for some people, Baker’s tape against elite SEC wide receivers makes the Chargers feel good about this pick. In a division that now includes Tyreek Hill, Antonio Brown, and Emannuel Sanders, having a shutdown corner like Baker is important.
29. DEN (Trade KC): Will Grier, QB – West Virginia
John Elway has stated that Joe Flacco is their starter for the foreseeable future, and that he is just entering his prime. His contract is also written up so that the Broncos can cut him at the end of next season or the season after that with zero dead money, making taking their true quarterback of the future logical. Now Grier isn’t a first round QB, but taking him at 29 instead of the second round gives them that extra fifth year option, and allows them to groom him behind Flacco, if he does indeed play the final three seasons of his contract for Denver.
30. GB: Hakeem Butler, WR – Iowa State
Green Bay went all defense in their free agent signings; here, they are collecting new targets for Aaron Rodgers. With the additions of Hockenson and Butler, Rodgers should feel better about the recent losses of his favorite targets. Butler starts in Week 1 opposite Davante Adams.
31. LAR: Dalton Risner, T/G Kansas State
The Rams have been signing players to their defense and skill positions like crazy the past two years and it would be a good time to replenish the offensive-line cupboard. Risner could prove to be the best OL prospect in this draft in two or three years. With experience playing center his freshman year, Risner can play anywhere along the offensive line, and projects pretty equally between guard and tackle.
32. SEA (Trade NE): Byron Murphy, CB - Washington
Not the fastest CB, but Murphy does fit a need for the Seahawks in DB help. Although his speed isn’t elite, his ability to jump routes and play on instinct gives him a first round pick.
33. ARI: Jerry Tillery, IDL – Notre Dame
34. IND: Deionte Thompson, S - Alabama
35. SF (Trade OAK): Nasir Adderley, S – Delaware
36. SF: Deebo Samuels, WR – South Carolina
37. NYG: Chris Lindstrom, OG – Boston College
38. JAX: Marquise Brown, WR – Oklahoma
39. TB: Riley Ridley, WR – Georgia
40. BUF: A.J Brown, WR - Mississippi
41. DEN: Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, S - Florida
42. CIN: Jeffery Simmons, IDL – Mississippi State.
43. DET: Rock Ya-Sin, CB - Temple
44. GB: Amani Oruwariye, CB – Penn State
45. ATL: Jaylon Ferguson, Edge – Louisianna Tech
46. WAS: Dexter Lawrence, IDL - Clemson
47. CAR: Michael Deiter, OT - Wisconsin
48. MIA: Irv Smith Jr., TE – Alabama
49. CLE: Juan Thronhill, S - Virginia
50. MIN: Erik McCoy, IOL – Texas A&M
51. TEN: Charles Omenihu, IDL - Texas
52. PIT: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR – Stanford
53. PHI: Jonathan Abram, S – Mississippi State
54. HOU: Yodny Cajuste, OT - Wisconsin
55. HOU: Jace Sternberger, TE – Texas A&M
56. NE: Christian Miller, EDGE - Alabama
57. PHI: Trayvon Mullen, CB - Clemson
58. IND: Darnell Savage, S - Maryland
59. DAL: Amani Hooker, S - Iowa
60. LAC: Justin Layne, CB – Michigan St.
61. KC: Julian Love, CB – Notre Dame
62. NO: Miles Sanders, RB – Penn State
63. KC: Jonathan Abram, S – Mississippi St.
64. NE: Taylor Rapp, S - Washington
Draft day trades:
SF gives #2
Oakland gives, #4, #24, and #35
SF gives #24, #64, 2020 3rd round, Arik Armstead, & K’Waun Williams
BUF gives #9
SF gives #105, #214, & Marquise Goodwin
DAL gives #91
SF gives CJ Beathard
WAS gives 2020 6th
49ers Draft Class
4: Quinnen Williams, DT – Alabama.
The fourth DT in five years, Williams is definitely the best outside of DeForest Buckner. Combined with the team trading Arik Armstead, Williams steps in to play the newcomer to the leagues best DT tandem. This pick by itself makes no sense, but with the added trade up and the rest of the players added this off season, Williams is a slam dunk with the fourth pick.
9: Brian Burns, DE – Florida State
‘Cause it burns, burns, burns. Opposing QBs will be feeling the turf burns facing a front line of Ford, Buckner, Williams, and Burns. His speed and athleticism off the edge is what enticed the trade up and he shouldn’t disappoint. Burns was the second choice edge rusher after Bosa, and Lynch found a way to make him and Williams fall in the same 49er draft class.
35: Nasir Adderley, S – Delaware
Adderley is the best pure free safety in the draft and will start day one for the 49ers. The 49ers aren’t scared of the small school stigma, as they show later in the draft as well. Adderley will pair perfect with the 49ers’ scheme, as he is a talented tackler as well as a great center field type safety. His hands are good and he has the speed to get into space and break up pass and run plays alike. There is a really good chance he is not here in the actual draft, but I dropped him here due to the league’s seemingly devaluation of the safety position (per free agency the last couple years, combined with five QB going round one).
36: Deebo Samuels, WR South Carolina
Since the Senior Bowl, everyone has known that Samuels is Kyle Shanahan’s type of receiver. He isn’t the big 6’2” receiver everyone is clamoring for, but he is incredible at getting open in small areas like the red zone. Lining Samuels and Pettis up with George Kittle, Trent Taylor, and Jordan Matthews will have Jimmy Garoppolo smiling all season long.
91: Jachai Polite, DE - Florida
Why not? After the free fall from the combine and his pro day, Polite at 91 seems right. Everyone kept saying that the front office needs to add two or three edge players this offseason, and Damontre Moore wasn’t one of the two or three they were talking about. Polite will be an incredible rotational edge player who could take Ford’s or Burns’ spot while still on a rookie contract if either turns out to be less bang and more buck.
177: Jimmy Moreland, CB – James Madison University
Deebo Samuels said that Moreland was the best competition he had during the Senior Bowl practices, and Lynch/Shanahan listened. Not a CB with huge length, but he is a perfect slot CB, and in today’s NFL that means he’s a perfect starting CB. Moreland could step in and make Reed Jr. the all around backup DB instead of the starting nickel CB. With the K’Waun Williams trade, there is an opening at slot.
What would you think if the 49ers’ draft turned out like this? They’d give up starters in Armstead and Goodwin and a possible starter in K’Waun Williams, but replace them with rookies of equal talent. Landing Quinnen Williams and Brian Burns would be an absolute coup, adding two more extremely athletic players on the defensive line on rookie salaries over the next five years. Polite gives them a third edge rusher to put fear into quarterbacks. Mooreland is one of the better nickel CBs in the draft. Samuels give them another dynamic pass catcher and Adderley takes over the single-high safety role he was born for.
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